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forecast-premortem

100 / 100 · Low risk

Fine to try.

By onfire7777/universal-ai-skills-library (GitHub) · other · 17 stars · scanned at commit 2a76bf4

Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

Works with any agent that supports SKILL.md skills.

What this skill can do

We found nothing in the files we read that matches our rules. That does not prove the skill is safe: see the limits of static scanning.

Install

Paste this into your terminal. It downloads exactly the version we scanned, not whatever is newest.

if [ -e ~/.agents/skills/'forecast-premortem' ] || [ -L ~/.agents/skills/'forecast-premortem' ]; then echo 'A skill folder named forecast-premortem already exists — not replacing it' >&2; false; else d=$(mktemp -d) && git clone --quiet --filter=blob:none --no-checkout 'https://github.com/onfire7777/universal-ai-skills-library' "$d" && git -C "$d" checkout --quiet '2a76bf42ce5c860adf8d0f3fcf3f6804109ac65b' -- 'skills/forecast-premortem' && mkdir -p ~/.agents/skills && cp -R "$d"/'skills/forecast-premortem' ~/.agents/skills/'forecast-premortem' && rm -rf "$d"; fi

Codex reads ~/.agents/skills directly. For Claude Code, Cursor, Copilot, Gemini CLI, Antigravity or OpenCode, also link it. For Claude Code: ln -s ~/.agents/skills/'forecast-premortem' ~/.claude/skills/'forecast-premortem' (other agents: ~/.cursor/skills, ~/.copilot/skills, ~/.gemini/skills, ~/.gemini/config/skills, ~/.config/opencode/skills). Or install through the finder skill, which does both.

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