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bayesian-reasoning-calibration

100 / 100 · Low risk

Fine to try.

By onfire7777/universal-ai-skills-library (GitHub) · coding · 17 stars · scanned at commit 2a76bf4

Use when making predictions or judgments under uncertainty and need to explicitly update beliefs with new evidence. Invoke when forecasting outcomes, evaluating probabilities, testing hypotheses, calibrating confidence, assessing risks with uncertain data, or avoiding overconfidence bias. Use when user mentions priors, likelihoods, Bayes theorem, probability updates, forecasting, calibration, or belief revision.

Works with any agent that supports SKILL.md skills.

What this skill can do

We found nothing in the files we read that matches our rules. That does not prove the skill is safe: see the limits of static scanning.

Install

Paste this into your terminal. It downloads exactly the version we scanned, not whatever is newest.

if [ -e ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-reasoning-calibration' ] || [ -L ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-reasoning-calibration' ]; then echo 'A skill folder named bayesian-reasoning-calibration already exists — not replacing it' >&2; false; else d=$(mktemp -d) && git clone --quiet --filter=blob:none --no-checkout 'https://github.com/onfire7777/universal-ai-skills-library' "$d" && git -C "$d" checkout --quiet '2a76bf42ce5c860adf8d0f3fcf3f6804109ac65b' -- 'skills/bayesian-reasoning-calibration' && mkdir -p ~/.agents/skills && cp -R "$d"/'skills/bayesian-reasoning-calibration' ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-reasoning-calibration' && rm -rf "$d"; fi

Codex reads ~/.agents/skills directly. For Claude Code, Cursor, Copilot, Gemini CLI, Antigravity or OpenCode, also link it. For Claude Code: ln -s ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-reasoning-calibration' ~/.claude/skills/'bayesian-reasoning-calibration' (other agents: ~/.cursor/skills, ~/.copilot/skills, ~/.gemini/skills, ~/.gemini/config/skills, ~/.config/opencode/skills). Or install through the finder skill, which does both.

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