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bayesian-workflow

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By brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills (GitHub) · research · 5,016 stars · scanned at commit 8684584

Opinionated Bayesian modeling workflow with PyMC and ArviZ. Contains critical guardrails (nutpie sampler, prior/posterior predictive checks, LOO-PIT calibration, prior sensitivity checks, 94% HDI, non-centered parameterizations, reproducible seeds) that agents won't apply unprompted — always consult before writing Bayesian model code. Trigger on: building probabilistic/Bayesian models, prior elicitation, MCMC inference, convergence diagnostics (divergences, R-hat, ESS), model comparison (LOO-CV…

Works with any agent that supports SKILL.md skills.

What this skill can do

Install

Paste this into your terminal. It downloads exactly the version we scanned, not whatever is newest.

if [ -e ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-workflow' ] || [ -L ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-workflow' ]; then echo 'A skill folder named bayesian-workflow already exists — not replacing it' >&2; false; else d=$(mktemp -d) && git clone --quiet --filter=blob:none --no-checkout 'https://github.com/brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills' "$d" && git -C "$d" checkout --quiet '8684584e7d1127940f018157d2c579974fae8f79' -- 'skills/23-Learning-Bayesian-Statistics-baygent-skills/bayesian-workflow' && mkdir -p ~/.agents/skills && cp -R "$d"/'skills/23-Learning-Bayesian-Statistics-baygent-skills/bayesian-workflow' ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-workflow' && rm -rf "$d"; fi

Codex reads ~/.agents/skills directly. For Claude Code, Cursor, Copilot, Gemini CLI, Antigravity or OpenCode, also link it. For Claude Code: ln -s ~/.agents/skills/'bayesian-workflow' ~/.claude/skills/'bayesian-workflow' (other agents: ~/.cursor/skills, ~/.copilot/skills, ~/.gemini/skills, ~/.gemini/config/skills, ~/.config/opencode/skills). Or install through the finder skill, which does both.

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