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superforecaster

100 / 100 · Low risk

Fine to try.

By agentydragon/ducktape (GitHub) · other · 11 stars · scanned at commit 0f6c736

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

Works with any agent that supports SKILL.md skills.

What this skill can do

We found nothing in the files we read that matches our rules. That does not prove the skill is safe: see the limits of static scanning.

Other copies in this repository

agentydragon/ducktape has 2 more folders with a skill named superforecaster. This page shows the lowest-scoring copy.

• props/specimens/ducktape/2026-05-20-00/code/skills/superforecaster 100/100 · Low risk
• props/specimens/ducktape/2026-01-17-00/code/nix/home/claude-code/skills/superforecaster 100/100 · Low risk

Install

Paste this into your terminal. It downloads exactly the version we scanned, not whatever is newest.

if [ -e ~/.agents/skills/'superforecaster' ] || [ -L ~/.agents/skills/'superforecaster' ]; then echo 'A skill folder named superforecaster already exists — not replacing it' >&2; false; else d=$(mktemp -d) && git clone --quiet --filter=blob:none --no-checkout 'https://github.com/agentydragon/ducktape' "$d" && git -C "$d" checkout --quiet '0f6c7366e360008c0b067bcff173a088d6886981' -- 'skills/superforecaster' && mkdir -p ~/.agents/skills && cp -R "$d"/'skills/superforecaster' ~/.agents/skills/'superforecaster' && rm -rf "$d"; fi

Codex reads ~/.agents/skills directly. For Claude Code, Cursor, Copilot, Gemini CLI, Antigravity or OpenCode, also link it. For Claude Code: ln -s ~/.agents/skills/'superforecaster' ~/.claude/skills/'superforecaster' (other agents: ~/.cursor/skills, ~/.copilot/skills, ~/.gemini/skills, ~/.gemini/config/skills, ~/.config/opencode/skills). Or install through the finder skill, which does both.

Badge for your README

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Score history